WadeHM, you said, “mygif
WadeHM said in January 5th, 2009 at 10:15 pm

I believe that the repeat rate is so low for sex predators is that they are so closely watched when they return to society.”

Unfortunately, none of the stats indicate that, in fact, recidivism has slightly “increased” since public notification. Not because they are being watched and found out.

The low recidivism rate for FIRST time offenders has always been low. The reason is mainly because the perpetrators are family members or are close to the family. i.e., teachers, best friends, just anyone whop has access and is trusted. Once caught, the humiliation and shame appear to do it’s part and even without treatment, they NEVER repeat another sex offense. True, nothing is 100%. However, one can pretty much who will repeat a second offense.
The violent, those who did not know their victim and the repeat offender. As it stands, the registries are meaningless in that the real threat, the predators, are HIDING in the registries. See: Ricky’s story at http://www.rickyslife.com. Life time level III for consensual teen sex.

Thanks for the tip. Looks like someone has something to hide. Some of those comments on various sites and newpapers make little sense, but reveal much when you read them all and put them together. Still need to keep a close eye on the bastards. Government statistics have been known to be wrong.

You know why so few of them are caught molesting a second time? I think its cause A) the little bastards are hard to catch when your pants are around your ankles and B) they talk too much, so the little brats are typically murdered to hush them up.

I see this guy very rarely, he hardly ever comes out. When he does, eyes are on him. Watchful eyes are a great deterrent. To bad we don’t watch out over our good neighbors more often like we do for these guys. Might be less robberies and home invasions if we all had each others backs all the time.

Over all. Recidivism for first time sex offenders is around 5 to 6 percent over a longer period of time.

My point is this, when compared with other crimes, sex offenders have the lowest rate of recidivism than any other crime except murder.

We are wasting our valuable resources with the myths and “stranger danger” hysteria.

I truly believe we do not need these draconian laws for the most part. Those who need watching are the violent rapist, those who did not know their victims and the repeat offender. Other than that, 95% never repeat a second sex offense and I believe once they finish their contract with the courts they should be able to rejoin society and be productive citizens. Many have spouses and children and unfortunately, when we ban these individuals we do more harm than good.

A good article to read is. :Study: “media creates online sex predator myths.”
Here:
http://cfcoklahoma.com/forum/index.php?topic=628.0

Reports on the rearrest, reconviction, and reincarceration of former inmates who were tracked for 3 years after their release from prisons in 15 States in 1994. The former inmates represent two-thirds of all prisoners released in the United States that year. The report includes prisoner demographic characteristics (gender, race, Hispanic origin, and age), criminal record, types of offenses for which they were imprisoned, the effects of length of stay in prison on likelihood of rearrest, and comparisons with a study of prisoners released in 1983.

Highlights include the following:

* Released prisoners with the highest rearrest rates were robbers (70.2%), burglars (74.0%),

larcenists (74.6%),

motor vehicle thieves (78.8%),

those in prison for possessing or selling stolen property (77.4%),

and those in prison for possessing, using, or selling illegal weapons (70.2%).

* Within 3 years, 2.5% of released rapists were arrested for another rape,

and 1.2% of those who had served time for homicide were arrested for homicide.

* The 272,111 offenders discharged in 1994 had accumulated 4.1 million arrest charges before their most recent imprisonment and another 744,000 charges within 3 years of release.

I am against the Big Brother mentality.
I am against a lawful organization “fixing” its inadequacies by half-assedly making a plan that wasn’t run by anyone with a brain who’s “done this” before.
I am for equal treatment of prisoners.
If you’re going to stalk prisoners, stalk them all.